Jim, etc.
You can doubt all you want, but if the m/h programming is merely duplicated, we're in trouble.
ATSC S4 (the
ATSC specialist group that developed the M/H standard, and which I have been a member of for going on 2 years) actually provided much technology in there, including RME (interactivity) and SVG (vector graphics) and ultimately, NRT (non-real time content) that cannot be rendered on existing television sets and which will require new tv station infrastructure to exploit.
If one does the calculations, one will discern that it's unlikely that M/H will enable TV stations to increase audience levels by more than 4%. But, television station audiences have been going down in recent years, and younger people spend more time with their mobile phones than watch television. M/H will enable all sorts of television content to appear on these devices.
In addition, there is nothing that forbids m/h content from appearing on suitably-equipped television sets of the future. One important consideration is that M/H content will NOT be availble on calbe, unless the cable operator pays market rates for it.
M/H enables television stations to reach people in new places, not unlike mobile phones have enabled you to reach people when they are away from home.
TV stations -- with the appropriate infrastructure -- will be able to target different commercials to mobile phones, and enable them to present new content, including being paid to pass on adhoc or traditonal television networks. Stations, or people using their transmitters, will be able to charge for access, pay-per-view, and even interact with television stations and even have "buy now" buttons on ads that lead directly to web sites and secure transactions.
At least one company -- I can't provide details due to NDAs -- is contemplating a national m/h service using spectrum previously occupied by TV stations.
Think of M/H as being a new "application" enabled by
dtv technology. Everything up to this point has merely been providing a digital equivalent of the old analog services. M/H is something that can go well beyond that, and it's just the start -- there is something just starting up which for the moment is called
ATSC 2.0. It will take a few years to amount to a standard or standards. Some of this has leaked out to the public, but I can't go beyond that.
Sadly, M/H cannot coexist well (if at all) with 1080i (at least 1080i delivered using existing
MPEG-2 video/audio. Some will tell you that it can, but these are the same folk that think two
HDTV services can occupy a 8-VSB channel. Sure, it's done; but never well. But, the people most interested in M/H aren't really committed to the business model of
HDTV, and they are looking at other tools to monetize their 8-VSB transmitters.
I know I'm long-winded, but so be it.
Best;
John Willkie
EtherGuide Systems (I am my employer, and I can speak for my employer)